Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting
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Nobody can predict the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to offer it its best shot. With up to date news and a small but tough 14 Billion parameter model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to answer humankind's most difficult questions.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, simply as two years earlier, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pushing concerns that are less simple to pin down. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language model to be much better at predicting the future (and have seen some intriguing improvements - term paper inbound). This week we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion specification design which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from many months ago so we have actually developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unknown area to make its best forecast possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We posed the following questions to our AI and gauged its action. While we have actually seen prediction enhancements from our training, use these estimates for prop wagering at your own hazard.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: setiathome.berkeley.edu 5% opportunity
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta element in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...
First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the posts. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her friends and household to the Super Bowl, revealing her commitment.
Some fans are excited, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially offered remarks Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has caused some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship private and not attending to the speculation straight.
I believe the essential points are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the chances and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, maybe around 5%, considering all factors.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a various front-tush being pushed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Appears like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this game.
Alright, I'm attempting to figure out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I require to understand what exactly a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it seems like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and strategy.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to execute the relocation. The article discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is pretty high. ... I also require to consider the protective methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might adjust their defense appropriately, which could either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.
Considering that more than 5 seems like a considerable number however possible offered their self-confidence, I would estimate a possibility around 60-70% possibility. This represents their preparation, confidence in the strategy, and the possibility that they'll utilize it a number of times, especially if it works early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime program performance?
AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility
While our AI may not be like us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.
From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration throughout a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears substantial due to the fact that it shows he's done it in the past, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more recent posts, it discusses that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That could mean he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.
However, he's also included in a feud with Drake, which might offer him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal issues surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation suit from Drake, so maybe he's careful about consisting of any controversial tunes in the efficiency. But considering that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent event, Lamar may feel obliged to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to avoid political declarations during the halftime show, so there's a danger that such content might be restricted or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making strong carry on big stages. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which may give him more imaginative flexibility. Plus, his past behavior recommends he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public performances.
But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar revealed tiredness about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might show he's less inspired to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, current shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the likelihood seems to be reasonably high, possibly around 65%.
Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% chance
Lets be sincere, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the reality that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh hamburger taint its forecast? Looks like theres rather of a chance that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to cause offense and that he in fact discovered it humorous himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might indicate he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.
Taking a look at the articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and likes cheeseburgers. There's a post specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's a person who takes pleasure in eating, specifically with his group. So, if there were plans to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would partake in a cheeseburger, especially if the situation is on screen for a celebration.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility
"Tails never fails?" You can't trick the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been predicting the coin toss and 53% are forecasting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and thinks anything can take place when that coin enters the air.
Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historical information that may affect this forecast.
First, I check out the articles supplied. They all point out the historic data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has actually come up more often than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, wiki.insidertoday.org which has to do with 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a slight edge, but it's not a huge distinction.
However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is usually thought about random. The slight historical edge for tails could be due to chance. But when making forecasts, often people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I ought to think about whether this historical bias should influence the possibility.
After thinking about it, I decide that while the historical information reveals a small choice for tails, it's not statistically substantial enough to move the probability away from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the small historic edge exists however does not override the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.
Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity
We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would probably believe the exact same. BUT, its official now because our AI says the chances are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to scams on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty severe allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of short articles that discuss conspiracy theories suggesting referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful contact recent games, particularly the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "ridiculous." They state there's no evidence of methodical predisposition. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it might suggest there's no real basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some reality to it.
Looking at the posts, several sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that statistical analysis does not reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have been punished more considering that 2022. That's interesting because if they were getting unique treatment, you might expect less penalties, right?
...
So, putting all of it together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably extremely low. Maybe not zero because you can't dismiss every possibility, wiki.asexuality.org however incredibly not likely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth watching the game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the video game turns out before we release this upon the . Fingers crossed for a great video game! And hello, if it ends up our AI was wrong about everything, at least it can gain from this.
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Our new Deepseek-based AI Says
bcecorrine9958 edited this page 2025-02-10 14:39:04 +02:00