Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl forecasts from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting
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Nobody can forecast the future but at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to give it its finest shot. With up to date news and a little but feisty 14 Billion specification model, our AI is boldly anticipating the unpredictable. Join us as we attempt to answer mankind's hardest concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as two years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pressing questions that are less simple to determine. Our business, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language design to be better at anticipating the future (and have actually seen some interesting improvements - term paper inbound). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can anticipate this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion parameter design which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some price quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from numerous months earlier so we have built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unidentified area to make its finest prediction possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We positioned the following questions to our AI and determined its reaction. While we have actually seen prediction enhancements from our training, use these quotes for prop wagering at your own danger.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% chance
Therefore it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposal ...
First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been supportive of his profession, attending his games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even welcomed her family and friends to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.
Some fans are delighted, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically provided comments Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not addressing the speculation straight.
I think the bottom lines are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the odds and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, perhaps around 5%, considering all elements.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% chance
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Looks like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this video game.
Alright, I'm attempting to determine the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand exactly what a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off defenders. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and method.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to execute the move. The post mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is quite high. ... I likewise need to consider the defensive strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are conscious of the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they may adjust their defense accordingly, which might either increase or decrease the variety of times the Eagles use it.
Considering that more than 5 appears like a substantial number however possible provided their self-confidence, I would approximate a possibility around 60-70% opportunity. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they'll utilize it numerous times, particularly if it's efficient early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program efficiency?
AI Final Prediction: 65% opportunity
While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.
From the articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement throughout a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That seems significant since it reveals he's done it before, so perhaps he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current articles, it discusses that Lamar is moving away from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That could imply he's less likely to deal with Trump this time.
However, he's likewise included in a fight with Drake, which might offer him reasons to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation match from Drake, so perhaps he bewares about consisting of any questionable songs in the efficiency. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar may feel obliged to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations during the halftime program, so there's a danger that such material may be limited or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making strong relocations on huge phases. He's the first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which may offer him more creative freedom. Plus, his previous behavior recommends he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public efficiencies.
But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might show he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's concentrating on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, current shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the possibility appears to be reasonably high, maybe around 65%.
Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the super bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility
Lets be honest, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the truth that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Looks like theres somewhat of a possibility that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't imply to trigger offense and that he actually found it amusing himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which might suggest he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Looking at the posts, it points out that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a post specifically about his love for food, which recommends that he's a person who delights in eating, especially with his group. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, especially if the situation is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility
"Tails never ever fails?" You can't trick the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been predicting the coin toss and 53% are forecasting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially lucrative? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and thinks anything can occur when that coin enters the air.
Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historic data that may influence this forecast.
First, I review the posts supplied. They all mention the historic statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It like tails has actually shown up more typically than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the outcome 30 times, wavedream.wiki which has to do with 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a minor edge, but it's not a big difference.
However, I bear in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is usually thought about random. The small historic edge for tails might be due to chance. But when making predictions, often people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I should think about whether this historic predisposition should affect the possibility.
After considering it, I decide that while the historic information reveals a small choice for tails, it's not statistically significant enough to move the possibility away from 0.5. So, I'll opt for 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the small historic edge exists but does not override the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.
Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% opportunity
We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely think the exact same. BUT, its official now due to the fact that our AI says the opportunities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to fraud on a national scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm trying to determine the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty severe accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of short articles that speak about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some questionable employ recent games, wiki.vst.hs-furtwangen.de particularly the AFC Championship Game. That does appear to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get irritated when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "absurd." They state there's no evidence of systematic bias. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may indicate there's no genuine basis or menwiki.men they would have resolved it differently if there was some fact to it.
Taking a look at the short articles, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise discussed that statistical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said information shows the Chiefs have been penalized more given that 2022. That's intriguing because if they were getting unique treatment, you might expect fewer penalties, right?
...
So, putting all of it together, bbarlock.com the likelihood that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely really low. Maybe not zero because you can't rule out every possibility, but exceptionally not likely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth watching the game still? I think I'll have to wait and see how the video game turns out before we release this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for an excellent video game! And hey, if it turns out our AI was wrong about whatever, a minimum of it can gain from this.
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Our new Deepseek-based AI Says
hildredblankin edited this page 2025-02-09 21:50:18 +02:00